Strength
Strength
|
43 20 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
898 296 Strength Momentum |
958 37.1(64) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
| Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/24/15 | Volcano Vista | 0.000 | 1454 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 640 | 3% | |
| 08/26/15 | at Del Norte ?? | 0.003 | 823 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-4) | 675 | 56% | |
| 08/29/15 | La Cueva | 0.001 | 1338 | L 0-10 | Expected (-6) | 582 | 8% | |
| 09/01/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.011 | 924 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 776 | 42% | |
| 09/03/15 | West Mesa | 0.017 | 870 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 918 | 58% | |
| 09/08/15 | at Moriarty | 0.034 | 702 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-4) | 715 | 71% | |
| 09/12/15 | Belen | 0.059 | 1170 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 968 | 23% | |
| 09/15/15 | at Cibola | 0.013 | 1381 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 635 | 3% | |
| 09/17/15 | Manzano ? | 0.057 | 993 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-4) | 677 | 42% | |
| 09/24/15 | Del Norte | 0.208 | 823 | L 1- 3 | Worse (-3) | 744 | 64% | |
| 09/26/15 | at West Mesa !! | 0.275 | 870 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 950 | 50% | |
| 09/30/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.381 | 924 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-1) | 845 | 51% | |
| 10/03/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.324 | 1475 | L 0- 5 | Expected (+1) | 950 | 1% | |
| 10/07/15 | at Valley | 0.633 | 1023 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+1) | 926 | 30% | |
| 10/14/15 | West Mesa | 0.847 | 870 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 868 | 58% | |
| 10/17/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.918 | 924 | T 1- 1 | Better (+1) | 927 | 42% | |
| 10/21/15 | Albuquerque | 0.267 | 1475 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-2) | 814 | 2% | |
| 10/23/15 | Valley | 0.941 | 1023 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 894 | 38% | |
|
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Rio Grande actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 958, while
Rio Grande's "weighted playing strength" is 888
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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